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	<title>Tim Kastellelooking for positive black swans &#8211; Tim Kastelle</title>
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		<title>looking for positive black swans</title>
		<link>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2009/10/looking-for-positive-black-swans/</link>
		<comments>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2009/10/looking-for-positive-black-swans/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2009 15:42:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim Kastelle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://timkastelle.org/blog/?p=640</guid>

				<description><![CDATA[Here is Nassim Nicholas Taleb talking about using nature as a model: The whole talk is well worth watching &#8211; it&#8217;s one of the best I&#8217;ve seen from Taleb. He tends to focus on avoiding negative black swan events (extremely rare events with disproportional impacts), so almost always talks about mitigating risk. When we&#8217;re trying [&#8230;]]]></description>
					<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is Nassim Nicholas Taleb talking about using nature as a model:</p>
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<p>The whole talk is well worth watching &#8211; it&#8217;s one of the best I&#8217;ve seen from Taleb.  He tends to focus on avoiding negative black swan events (extremely rare events with disproportional impacts), so almost always talks about mitigating risk.  When we&#8217;re trying to innovate, on the other hand, we&#8217;re looking for a positive black swan event if we&#8217;re trying to come up with radical innovations.  And there is one absolutely essential point for this in Taleb&#8217;s talk &#8211; to do this effectively, we need slack.  We can&#8217;t come up with innovations if our organisation is 100% efficient.  Some innovations won&#8217;t work.  This might look like &#8216;waste&#8217; to some people, but it&#8217;s not.  It is an investment towards finding the things that will work. We can&#8217;t be innovative if we&#8217;re fully leveraged.</p>

<div id='jp-relatedposts' class='jp-relatedposts' >
	<h3 class="jp-relatedposts-headline"><em>Related</em></h3>
</div>]]></content:encoded>
			

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