<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Tim KastelleCumulative Disruption &#8211; Tim Kastelle</title>
	<atom:link href="https://timkastelle.org/blog/2010/01/cumulative-disruption/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://timkastelle.org</link>
	<description>Build Autonomy &#38; Impact With Ideas</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2025 22:50:00 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en-US</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	
<site xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">36782504</site>		<item>
		<title>Cumulative Disruption</title>
		<link>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2010/01/cumulative-disruption/</link>
		<comments>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2010/01/cumulative-disruption/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Jan 2010 11:57:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim Kastelle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[time]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://timkastelle.org/blog/?p=1090</guid>

				<description><![CDATA[If anyone ever asks you why innovation is important, consider this: Year Technology Lighting Efficiency 1750 B.C. Oil Lamp 17.5 (lumen hours per BTU) A.D. 1800 Tallow Candle 22.2 1815 Whale-oil Lamp 39.4 1875 Kerosene Lamp 46.6 1883 Electric Light, Carbon Filament 762.0 1920 Electric Light, Tungsten Filament 3,463.7 1992 Compact Flourescent Bulb 20,111.1 The [&#8230;]]]></description>
					<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If anyone ever asks you why innovation is important, consider this:</p>
<table cellpadding="6" frame="BOX" rules="GROUPS">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
<th>Technology</th>
<th>Lighting Efficiency</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>1750 B.C.</td>
<td>Oil Lamp</td>
<td>17.5 (lumen hours per BTU)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>A.D. 1800</td>
<td>Tallow Candle</td>
<td>22.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1815</td>
<td>Whale-oil Lamp</td>
<td>39.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1875</td>
<td>Kerosene Lamp</td>
<td>46.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1883</td>
<td>Electric Light, Carbon Filament</td>
<td>762.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1920</td>
<td>Electric Light, Tungsten Filament</td>
<td>3,463.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1992</td>
<td>Compact Flourescent Bulb</td>
<td>20,111.1</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>The data are from a paper by William Norhaus (you can get a pdf version of it <a href="http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/au/nordhaus.htm">here</a> &#8211; it is paper CFDP 1078). As each new lighting technology has been introduced, the efficiency of lighting has increased dramatically.  One interesting point is in his data though &#8211; when each new technology was introduced, the unit cost for the same amount of light tended to be higher than it was with the dominant technology of the time.  That&#8217;s part of why it is often hard to get new ideas to spread, even when they are demonstrably better than what they&#8217;re replacing.  It&#8217;s why Edison had to build power plants and <a href="http://timkastelle.org/blog/2010/01/innovation-diffusion-lessons-from-edison/">dig up the streets</a> to get people to use his Electric Light into widespread use.</p>
<p>Nevertheless, as each new lighting technology was refined, the labor-cost of lighting fell through the floor:<br />
<a href="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/LightData.jpg"><img data-recalc-dims="1" fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" data-attachment-id="1094" data-permalink="https://timkastelle.org/blog/2010/01/cumulative-disruption/lightdata/#main" data-orig-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/LightData.jpg?fit=705%2C598&amp;ssl=1" data-orig-size="705,598" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="LightData" data-image-description="" data-image-caption="" data-medium-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/LightData.jpg?fit=300%2C254&amp;ssl=1" data-large-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/LightData.jpg?fit=705%2C598&amp;ssl=1" src="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/LightData-300x254.jpg?resize=300%2C254" alt="" title="LightData" width="300" height="254" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1094" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/LightData.jpg?resize=300%2C254&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/LightData.jpg?w=705&amp;ssl=1 705w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a></p>
<p>The amount of time you had to work to pay for one kLH by 1992 was 1/100,000,000 of what it was in 1750 B.C.</p>
<p>This makes me consider a few questions:</p>
<ul>
<li>This is a great example of the cumulative impact of successive disruptive technologies &#8211; it can be enormous.  So consider &#8211; are any changes like this coming in your industry?  Probably so &#8211; so what can you do to prepare for these changes? Or to drive them?</li>
<li>This gigantic drop in the price of lighting has made people in recent years significantly better off.  If we are working on innovating, will our innovations have a similar impact? Wouldn&#8217;t you want them to?  We should be working on things that make a real difference.</li>
<li>That is why it is important to think about <a href="http://blogs.hbr.org/haque/2009/12/the_builders_manifesto.html">buildership</a>. I&#8217;ve talked previously about innovation strategies that we can use to <a href="http://timkastelle.org/blog/2009/12/building-innovation/">build long-term innovations</a> &#8211; and again, wouldn&#8217;t you rather work on things that will make a difference?</li>
</ul>
<p>Innovation can have huge impact on peoples&#8217; lives.  Innovating is powerful, and it comes with responsibility &#8211; and we should consider both aspects when we build our innovation strategies.</p>

<div id='jp-relatedposts' class='jp-relatedposts' >
	<h3 class="jp-relatedposts-headline"><em>Related</em></h3>
</div>]]></content:encoded>
			

		<wfw:commentRss>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2010/01/cumulative-disruption/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
				<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1090</post-id>	</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
<!--
Performance optimized by W3 Total Cache. Learn more: https://www.boldgrid.com/w3-total-cache/?utm_source=w3tc&utm_medium=footer_comment&utm_campaign=free_plugin

Page Caching using Disk: Enhanced (SSL caching disabled) 

Served from: timkastelle.org @ 2026-06-13 09:48:46 by W3 Total Cache
-->