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	<title>Tim KastelleYou Better Reconsider Your Assumptions &#8211; Tim Kastelle</title>
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		<title>You Better Reconsider Your Assumptions</title>
		<link>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2013/01/you-better-reconsider-your-assumptions/</link>
		<comments>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2013/01/you-better-reconsider-your-assumptions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 31 Jan 2013 06:30:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim Kastelle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[experiments]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://timkastelle.org/?p=6651</guid>

				<description><![CDATA[Often, when things don't go the way we expect them to, we're operating with faulty assumptions.  Some recent issues with my cat Wallace illustrate this point.]]></description>
					<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="720" height="540" src="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?fit=720%2C540&amp;ssl=1" class="featured-image wp-post-image" alt="" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?w=720&amp;ssl=1 720w, https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w" sizes="(max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px" data-attachment-id="6652" data-permalink="https://timkastelle.org/blog/2013/01/you-better-reconsider-your-assumptions/wallace/#main" data-orig-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?fit=720%2C540&amp;ssl=1" data-orig-size="720,540" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="wallace" data-image-description="" data-image-caption="&lt;p&gt;Wallace acting like a supermodel&lt;/p&gt;
" data-medium-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?fit=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1" data-large-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?fit=720%2C540&amp;ssl=1" /><p>A couple of years ago Nancy and I adopted a pair of kittens from our vet &#8211; <a href="http://timkastelle.org/blog/2012/07/schumpeter-keynes-on-an-innovation-dilemma/" target="_blank">Schumpeter</a> and Wallace.  They&#8217;ve both turned out to be awesome cats, though very different in personality.  The only problem is that from the time they hit adolescence, Wallace started spraying.</p>
<p>This has been a bit distressing, for a variety of reasons.  In consultation with several different vets at our clinic, and every other resource we could find, we tried everything we could think of to stop the problem &#8211; changing the environment, medical treatment, blood tests to make sure there wasn&#8217;t an underlying problem, giving Wallace his own room in the house, and quite a few other things.</p>
<p>Nothing seemed to work.</p>
<p>Finally, one of the vets we were talking to said: &#8220;He&#8217;s acting just like an intact male.&#8221;</p>
<p>So we had our main vet do a blood test to check his testosterone level.  When we brought Wallace in for the test, she had gone back to the original records.  It turns out that while neutering is a very routine procedure, there was an anomaly noted in his records.  And sure enough, his testosterone levels were through the roof.</p>
<p>We had assumed all the way through the troubleshooting process that he was fixed, when in fact he apparently has testicular tissue floating around somewhere in his abdomen.</p>
<dl class="wp-caption aligncenter" id="attachment_6652" style="width: 310px;">
<dt class="wp-caption-dt" style="display: inline !important;"><a href="http://timkastelle.org/?attachment_id=6652" rel="attachment wp-att-6652"><img data-recalc-dims="1" fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" data-attachment-id="6652" data-permalink="https://timkastelle.org/blog/2013/01/you-better-reconsider-your-assumptions/wallace/#main" data-orig-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?fit=720%2C540&amp;ssl=1" data-orig-size="720,540" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="wallace" data-image-description="" data-image-caption="&lt;p&gt;Wallace acting like a supermodel&lt;/p&gt;
" data-medium-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?fit=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1" data-large-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?fit=720%2C540&amp;ssl=1" class="size-medium wp-image-6652" alt="Wallace acting like a supermodel" src="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace-300x225.jpg?resize=300%2C225" width="300" height="225" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/wallace.jpg?w=720&amp;ssl=1 720w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a></dt>
</dl>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<dl class="wp-caption aligncenter" id="attachment_6652" style="width: 310px;">
<dd class="wp-caption-dd">Wallace acting like a supermodel</dd>
</dl>
<p>We make a lot of assumptions in business too.</p>
<p>We assume that:</p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;">we can figure out if our idea is good through logic rather than testing it. </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;">the standard business model that everyone else in the industry uses will work for us too.  </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;">and that it&#8217;s the best one. </span></li>
<li>people act rationally, and that logic is the best way to get them to try our great new idea.</li>
<li>if we tell people to be more innovative, they&#8217;ll know what to do.</li>
<li>innovation is about great ideas, and that&#8217;s all.</li>
</ul>
<p>There are plenty more, and I&#8217;m sure you can think of a few more common ones to add to the list.  Identifying <a href="http://www.digitaltonto.com/2012/irrational-expectations/" target="_blank">the assumptions and biases that underlay your approach to the world</a> is important.</p>
<p>So the next time you find yourself surprised, or you discover that things aren&#8217;t working the way you expect, remember my cat Wallace.  And reconsider your assumptions.</p>

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	<h3 class="jp-relatedposts-headline"><em>Related</em></h3>
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