<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Tim KastelleTaking a Long Term View During Turbulent Times &#8211; Tim Kastelle</title>
	<atom:link href="https://timkastelle.org/blog/2020/05/taking-a-long-term-view-during-turbulent-times/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://timkastelle.org</link>
	<description>Build Autonomy &#38; Impact With Ideas</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2025 22:50:00 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en-US</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	
<site xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">36782504</site>		<item>
		<title>Taking a Long Term View During Turbulent Times</title>
		<link>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2020/05/taking-a-long-term-view-during-turbulent-times/</link>
		<comments>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2020/05/taking-a-long-term-view-during-turbulent-times/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 May 2020 07:24:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim Kastelle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[complex systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[attention economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[complexity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pace layers]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://timkastelle.org/?p=42109</guid>

				<description><![CDATA[Here's a talk I gave last week on some methods and benefits to thinking in the long term, even when there are urgent short term events taking up our attention.]]></description>
					<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="591" height="452" src="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?fit=591%2C452&amp;ssl=1" class="featured-image wp-post-image" alt="pace layers" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?w=591&amp;ssl=1 591w, https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?resize=300%2C229&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?resize=518%2C396&amp;ssl=1 518w, https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?resize=82%2C63&amp;ssl=1 82w" sizes="(max-width: 591px) 100vw, 591px" data-attachment-id="41852" data-permalink="https://timkastelle.org/blog/2020/03/technological-revolutions-and-the-governance-gap/pace_layering/#main" data-orig-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?fit=591%2C452&amp;ssl=1" data-orig-size="591,452" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}" data-image-title="pace_layering" data-image-description="" data-image-caption="" data-medium-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?fit=300%2C229&amp;ssl=1" data-large-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?fit=591%2C452&amp;ssl=1" />
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What&#8217;s the best way to respond to covid-19? There&#8217;s still so much uncertainty, it&#8217;s almost impossible to know. There are people and institutions that urgently need help &#8211; and first priority has to go them.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But there&#8217;s also value in taking a longer-term view in times of turbulence &#8211; I gave a talk last week on this topic, and you can see it here:</p>



<figure><iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/lDWqTvlqO-Y" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen=""></iframe></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I won&#8217;t recap the whole thing, as it&#8217;s all there on the video. But here are some of the key points.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the first half, I talk about some personal strategies we can use to think about things. One of the key concepts here is an idea that <a href="http://timkastelle.org/blog/2020/03/technological-revolutions-and-the-governance-gap/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">I raised in my last post</a>: pace layers.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img data-recalc-dims="1" fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" width="591" height="452" data-attachment-id="41852" data-permalink="https://timkastelle.org/blog/2020/03/technological-revolutions-and-the-governance-gap/pace_layering/#main" data-orig-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?fit=591%2C452&amp;ssl=1" data-orig-size="591,452" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}" data-image-title="pace_layering" data-image-description="" data-image-caption="" data-medium-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?fit=300%2C229&amp;ssl=1" data-large-file="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?fit=591%2C452&amp;ssl=1" src="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?resize=591%2C452" alt="pace layers" class="wp-image-41852" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?w=591&amp;ssl=1 591w, https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?resize=300%2C229&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?resize=518%2C396&amp;ssl=1 518w, https://i0.wp.com/timkastelle.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/pace_layering.jpg?resize=82%2C63&amp;ssl=1 82w" sizes="(max-width: 591px) 100vw, 591px" /></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="http://longnow.org/seminars/02015/jan/27/pace-layers-thinking/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">This is a great talk where</a> Stewart Brand explains the origin and meaning of the pace layer idea, and then Paul Saffo expands on it.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There are two books that have helped me think about how to best take the longer-term perspective. One is <strong><a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/600671/how-to-do-nothing-by-jenny-odell/" target="_blank">How To Do Nothing</a></strong> by Jenny Odell. She looks at how to connect back to your local region as a method for combating the attention economy. The book came out of <a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://medium.com/@the_jennitaur/how-to-do-nothing-57e100f59bbb" target="_blank">this post</a>, which is also excellent.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The other set of ideas comes from Tyson Yunkaporta and his book <strong><a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.textpublishing.com.au/books/sand-talk" target="_blank">Sand Talk</a></strong>. He talks about how the current world looks through an Australian Indigenous perspective. It&#8217;s a good way to start thinking about the 1000 year view of things.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the second half of the talk I look at what we can do at an organisational level. The first key idea is that <a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="http://timkastelle.org/blog/2014/11/having-a-risk-averse-culture-increases-your-risk/" target="_blank">having a risk averse culture actually increases risk</a> &#8211; it makes our organisations fragile.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One of the ways to think about this is to <a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="http://cognitive-edge.com/videos/cynefin-framework-introduction/" target="_blank">use the Cynefin Framework</a>, developed by Dave Snowden. He also hosted a <a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.agile42.com/en/blog/2020/04/09/complexity-chaos-and-covid-19/" target="_blank">fantastic session on addressing covid-19 challenges</a> using complexity-based approaches with a great panel that included Alicia Juarrero, Valdis Krebs, and Ann Pendleton-Jullian, moderated by Sonja Blignaut. All five of them are top tier thinkers, and it&#8217;s an interesting session.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We also included information about two sets of resources from the University of Queensland Business School. The first is a set of three of our classes on the edX platform at a greatly reduced rate &#8211; <a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://business.uq.edu.au/community-courses" target="_blank">more information here</a>. One of the three is the course that I put together on Design Thinking and Creativity for Innovation.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Even though there are no clear cut answers to questions about what we should do right now, I hope that all these resources can help us think a bit more effectively about how to best proceed.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And I hope that everyone that sees this is doing as well as you can under the current circumstances.</p>

<div id='jp-relatedposts' class='jp-relatedposts' >
	<h3 class="jp-relatedposts-headline"><em>Related</em></h3>
</div>]]></content:encoded>
			

		<wfw:commentRss>https://timkastelle.org/blog/2020/05/taking-a-long-term-view-during-turbulent-times/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
				<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">42109</post-id>	</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
<!--
Performance optimized by W3 Total Cache. Learn more: https://www.boldgrid.com/w3-total-cache/?utm_source=w3tc&utm_medium=footer_comment&utm_campaign=free_plugin

Page Caching using Disk: Enhanced (SSL caching disabled) 

Served from: timkastelle.org @ 2026-06-16 09:30:03 by W3 Total Cache
-->